Chinese artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek is rapidly emerging as a key player in the global AI race, challenging the effectiveness of U.S. trade restrictions meant to curb China’s access to cutting-edge technology. The Hangzhou-based company’s groundbreaking advancements, achieved despite export controls on high-end chips, have placed Washington in unprecedented territory, leaving lawmakers scrambling to respond.
Key Developments Around DeepSeek
DeepSeek’s rise has called into question whether U.S. measures to limit China’s access to advanced technologies can effectively prevent breakthroughs in artificial intelligence. The company has leveraged open-source code and less-advanced Nvidia H800 chips — available before the U.S. expanded trade restrictions in October 2023 — to develop AI models that rival some of the most advanced in the industry.
This strategy has enabled DeepSeek to release a free, open-source large language model in December 2024, which was built at a fraction of the cost incurred by competitors like OpenAI. Just last week, DeepSeek launched an advanced reasoning model, outperforming OpenAI’s latest offerings in several third-party tests. The company’s cost-effective approach has shaken the U.S. tech industry, raising concerns about the billions of dollars being spent on AI development.
DeepSeek’s AI chatbot is now the most downloaded free app on Apple’s U.S. App Store, further demonstrating its massive adoption. However, its rapid success has drawn heightened scrutiny from U.S. lawmakers and government agencies.
Challenges in Enforcing Trade Restrictions
U.S. lawmakers and legal experts admit that restricting an open-source model like DeepSeek’s presents unique challenges. The technology’s widespread use by organizations and individuals makes enforcement of export controls difficult.
According to Lawrence Ward, a national security law expert at Dorsey & Whitney, the U.S. government could consider imposing civil and criminal penalties if DeepSeek is found to have violated export restrictions, particularly regarding its use of Nvidia chips. However, Ward noted that enforcing such penalties may prove “difficult if not impossible.”
Paul Triolo, a partner at Albright Stone Group, suggested that the U.S. Commerce Department could attempt to restrict access to DeepSeek’s applications by requiring tech giants like Apple and Google to remove them from their platforms. However, Triolo acknowledged the inherent difficulties in enforcing such rules, particularly on open platforms like GitHub.
Lawmakers Call for Stronger Measures
Some lawmakers have already begun advocating for tougher measures. Representative John Moolenaar, chair of the House Select Committee on China, called for stricter export controls on technologies critical to DeepSeek’s AI infrastructure.
“This situation is somewhat unprecedented,” said Triolo. “It is not likely that anyone in Washington has a clear idea what to do about it … we are clearly in uncharted waters at many levels.”
President Donald Trump also weighed in on Monday, calling DeepSeek’s advancements a “wake-up call” for U.S. technology firms. While expressing concern over China’s progress, Trump also praised DeepSeek’s cost-efficient model as a “positive development” for the broader AI industry. “Instead of spending billions and billions, you’ll spend less, and you’ll come up with, hopefully, the same solution,” Trump said.
Economic and Strategic Impacts
DeepSeek’s success has shaken investor confidence in U.S. tech companies. Stocks of major firms involved in AI development saw declines as markets reacted to the realization that open-source methods could dramatically reduce the cost of developing advanced AI systems. Analysts have suggested that U.S. companies may now turn to public codebases, like DeepSeek’s, to refine their own models and lower operational costs.
Daniel Newman, CEO of Futurum Group, noted that the U.S. government is likely to investigate whether DeepSeek acquired restricted equipment in violation of export controls. “If DeepSeek had equipment that it shouldn’t have, it could certainly lead to further investigation,” Newman said.
DeepSeek Faces Cyberattacks and Domestic Challenges
DeepSeek, for its part, has had to contend with its own challenges. On January 20, the company faced a large-scale cyberattack that caused website outages. In response, it temporarily limited new sign-ups to users with mainland Chinese phone numbers.
The company’s founder, Liang Wenfeng, recently attended a closed-door symposium chaired by Chinese Premier Li Qiang, further cementing DeepSeek’s position as a key player in China’s AI strategy.
A Precarious Future
As DeepSeek continues to grow, U.S. lawmakers, tech giants, and national security experts face a daunting task: how to contain the influence of a Chinese AI startup that has already proven capable of working around export restrictions. The situation underscores the challenges of regulating open-source technologies in an increasingly interconnected world.